I was reading the daily Venture Wire blurb last Friday. Usually these are "quick reads" and sort of a mix between a story in the LA Times and Food and Wine, but the content in this one was particularly fascinating and alarming at the same time.
The last IPO this year was on March 19th. It was CardioNet , which is a great company Jim Sweeney started/runs down in San Diego (and participated in OCTANe's CA Medical Device Forum in 2006) at the intersection of health care and wireless data. (Congrats, Jim). However, that was MARCH 19th and it's June now!! There have been hundreds of venture-backed investments since March 19th, but none of the existing investments have gone IPO?
Sure many have been bought or "monetized" by VCs, but what is going on? The total number of IPOs is six for 2008 per the article and no "tech ones" since Valentine's Day? How much love is that? The trend is alarmingly getting worse as detailed below. Some points to ponder....
1. Is this tied to the subprime mess? Does a "spooked" capital market in one asset class bring down the whole capital chain as far as investment capital realization and availability?
2. Is an IPO not a real relevant option for VCs anymore and companies are being "built to be sold; not built to prosper?"
3. Will global, non-US markets with less regulations, be the choice going forward for IPOs?
4. Are we producing just "incremental innovation companies" instead of TRUE disruptive innovative companies? (Everyone these days talks innovation and brands it, but where is it?)
5. Or is it just one heck of a St. Patty's Day hangover....
Well 12 companies are filed and ready to go and let's wish them well as risk taking venture capital needs liquidity options to prosper; staying private usually does not pay the bills.
Interesting factoid ... last time there was this IPO lull was 2003, oil was about $25-$30 a barrel. Here in 2008 it is around $130. So while we lament our VC-backed IPO drought, we also get to regret not buying the oil futures index 5 years ago.
Thoughts?
Showing posts with label funding. Show all posts
Showing posts with label funding. Show all posts
Tuesday, June 3, 2008
Wednesday, March 19, 2008
What's tougher...An Entrepreneur getting funded in OC/So Cal or Portland State winning the NCAA Basketball Tournament?
I was filling out my winning March Madness Basketball brackets .. oops .. I mean while I was thinking about a hypothetical (and used to be harmless) NCAA basketball contest that doesn't exist to the best of my knowledge ... and I got to wondering, what is easier: an entrepereneur getting venture capital in OC/So Cal (or really anywhere not Sand Hill Road) or a "no-name" team winning the NCAA college basketball championship?
The answer? It depends.
Probability Scenario #1 - The "Duke, North Carolina, UCLA's of the world" - if they were entrepreneurs, they would have good chance to get funded. Have "been there, done that", get great talent, have a powerful network, are serial winners ... they are kind of like the prom queen/king(s); usually they get a date. Venture capital and angels sort of find them rather than vice versa.
Probability Scenario #2 - The "Portland State, Siena, Texas Arlington's of the world" - if they were entrepreneurs, well, the movie Rudy comes to mind ... HUGE underdogs. Probably a combination of "first time tryouts", talent, network and/or even if they had a good idea, it would need some/a lot of "work" and also lack of localized seed capital would hurt it even more. This does not say that entrepreneurs should quit or it can't become a "nice little business", but it is a tough road sometimes; just know what you are getting into.
Probability Scenario #3 - The "Wisconsin, USC, Clemson's, #5 seeds of the world" - this is the interesting group of entrepreneurs. Passionate and talented people that have "something" but are still "not quite there" .. THIS is the critical piece that we need to focus on. If these entrepreneurs can continue to work hard, got some momentum, build a talent pipeline (patents/people/network), they can develop in the top tier. I will contend this group is the key for regions to focus on and develop. How do we increase/help this group? "Minds and Money" is the answer.
We need to help grow more innovative businesses and provide a platform; a mix of online and offline resources to nurture and advance this group. A serial entrepreneur network, a relevant and ACTIVE angel investor, a university advisor, a "mentor mindset VC", a "kind" lawyer etc... this is what will move the needle and get more entrepreneurs and in the words of Dick Vitale "to the dance, babeeeeeeey!!!!!!
The answer? It depends.
Probability Scenario #1 - The "Duke, North Carolina, UCLA's of the world" - if they were entrepreneurs, they would have good chance to get funded. Have "been there, done that", get great talent, have a powerful network, are serial winners ... they are kind of like the prom queen/king(s); usually they get a date. Venture capital and angels sort of find them rather than vice versa.
Probability Scenario #2 - The "Portland State, Siena, Texas Arlington's of the world" - if they were entrepreneurs, well, the movie Rudy comes to mind ... HUGE underdogs. Probably a combination of "first time tryouts", talent, network and/or even if they had a good idea, it would need some/a lot of "work" and also lack of localized seed capital would hurt it even more. This does not say that entrepreneurs should quit or it can't become a "nice little business", but it is a tough road sometimes; just know what you are getting into.
Probability Scenario #3 - The "Wisconsin, USC, Clemson's, #5 seeds of the world" - this is the interesting group of entrepreneurs. Passionate and talented people that have "something" but are still "not quite there" .. THIS is the critical piece that we need to focus on. If these entrepreneurs can continue to work hard, got some momentum, build a talent pipeline (patents/people/network), they can develop in the top tier. I will contend this group is the key for regions to focus on and develop. How do we increase/help this group? "Minds and Money" is the answer.
We need to help grow more innovative businesses and provide a platform; a mix of online and offline resources to nurture and advance this group. A serial entrepreneur network, a relevant and ACTIVE angel investor, a university advisor, a "mentor mindset VC", a "kind" lawyer etc... this is what will move the needle and get more entrepreneurs and in the words of Dick Vitale "to the dance, babeeeeeeey!!!!!!
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)
